Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 5.549183 6.117324 6.722939 7.417320 8.192433 9.032119 10.012076
2025-12-14 4.528620 5.278605 6.128825 7.167057 8.404739 9.837907 11.630341
2025-12-21 3.851925 4.713382 5.744112 7.075153 8.758408 10.829289 13.590021
2025-12-28 3.428506 4.384337 5.585677 7.219168 9.401873 12.245225 16.274277
2026-01-04 3.076249 4.093352 5.429994 7.335356 10.014394 13.695912 19.222857
2026-01-11 2.752479 3.795415 5.222190 7.345308 10.473451 14.990536 22.149510
2026-01-18 2.457574 3.498984 4.976242 7.262085 10.777643 16.092558 24.954309
2026-01-25 2.203846 3.230270 4.735168 7.148903 11.011640 17.107166 27.768742
2026-02-01 1.988351 2.993030 4.511458 7.029215 11.210541 18.080105 30.654016
2026-02-08 1.803272 2.781773 4.302700 6.903774 11.375979 19.008068 33.595106
2026-02-15 1.659402 2.619915 4.153185 6.853989 11.655269 20.156271 37.105541
2026-02-22 1.569805 2.536016 4.119714 6.992889 12.274864 21.982157 42.190280
2026-03-01 1.451483 2.395518 3.981552 6.939827 12.553448 23.242778 46.436681
2026-03-08 1.327858 2.234606 3.792783 6.774109 12.599800 24.065323 49.929852
2026-03-15 1.237189 2.122632 3.678731 6.732871 12.879297 25.386758 54.742587
2026-03-22 1.185441 2.074987 3.675204 6.900648 13.596013 27.710430 62.268940
2026-03-29 1.133233 2.021540 3.655296 7.033009 14.255896 30.010745 70.207656
2026-04-05 1.072105 1.945955 3.586116 7.057422 14.687862 31.870138 77.441266
2026-04-12 1.005586 1.854412 3.477574 6.987840 14.903368 33.264119 83.764631
2026-04-19 0.941595 1.762487 3.360023 6.886098 15.032432 34.471601 89.842808
2026-04-26 0.882388 1.675254 3.244283 6.775758 15.127044 35.608634 95.971152
2026-05-03 0.827567 1.592544 3.130759 6.658311 15.189660 36.674678 102.131159
2026-05-10 0.783995 1.529372 3.052539 6.612496 15.421153 38.214057 110.069762